England's Raheem Sterling

England hold firm to beat the Germans

Could it, maybe, possibly, be coming home? Well, after beating Germany in a tournament for the first time since 1966, who knows how far this England squad can go. With Raheem Sterling on form and Harry Kane up and running, the sky is the limit.

Defensively, England have the best record of any nation left with no goals conceded in their four matches so far. It’s now 572 minutes since Jordan Pickford last picked the ball out of the net.

The last time England started a major tournament with four clean sheets was when they won the 1966 World Cup.

The Three Lions are 3.1511/5 favourites to win Euro 2020 after starting the tournament 6.25/1 on the exchange. Pickford pulled off another couple of crucial saves to deny the Germans and he must be a candidate for player of the tournament. Pickford and co are 8/11 to keep another clean sheet against Ukraine.

Winning to nil is a great habit to have and England are evens to record their fourth tournament win in five in that manner. Positioned on the so-called ‘easier’ side of the draw, England’s route to the final is a lot more straightforward and they are 1.784/5 to make it to the Wembley final.

If Raheem Sterling can continue his fantastic form in front of goal, there is no reason why the Three Lions cannot lift the Henri Delaunay trophy on July 11. Sterling became the first player since Gary Lineker in the 1986 World Cup to score England’s first three goals at a major tournament and the Manchester City forward is 5/1 to win the Golden Boot award. He was 33/1 before he struck the winner in England’s opening game.

If football is coming home, it has a short stop over in Rome first. England and Rome have good history. Remember when Paul Ince shed blood for the cause in a goalless draw in the Italian capital in 1997 that was enough to secure the Three Lions’ passage to the 98 World Cup? Who will the hero be this time?

Ukraine make Euros history at Sweden’s expense

The perfect scenario played out for England in the final Round of 16 fixture to determine who they would face in Rome on Saturday. Ukraine eventually beat Sweden 2-1 with a header from Artem Dovbyk in the last minute of extra-time.

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Playing 120 minutes, or rather 131 minutes, will weigh heavily on Andriy Shevchenko’s side who also picked up a few injuries including a nasty leg injury to Artem Besedin 10 minutes after his introduction as a substitute.

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Will Saturday’s quarter-final against England be a game too far for Ukraine? Quite possibly, which is why they are 1/7 to be eliminated in the next round. However, after becoming the first group of players to carry Ukraine into the last eight of the Euros, they have nothing to lose. Shevchenko’s side are 9.28/1 on the exchange to beat England on Saturday.

Oleksandr Zinchenko is the glue that keeps this team together and the Manchester City player gave Ukraine the lead with a fine strike in the first half. Zinchenko will relish a reunion with several of his club team-mates which will be all the motivation he needs. Zinchenko is 10/1 to be an anytime scorer.

Stats suggest over 2.5 goals is the best bet

We now know who plays who in the quarter-finals and if these four matches are half as good as the entire tournament so far, we will be treated to more goal-fests. Euro 2016 produced a total of 108 goals from the 51 total matches played. Euro 2020 has seen 123 goals scored and we haven’t reached the quarter-finals yet.

With seven matches left to play, could we see the 150-goal barrier broken? The current average of 2.79 goals per game means we could finish the tournament with 142 goals scored. However, there are some high-scoring teams still alive who could push us closer to 150.

Of the 123 goals scored at Euro 2020, 23 have been headers, 17 have been from outside the box and 53 of the 91 goals scored by shots have been with the right foot.

Denmark were delighted to become the first team to score four goals in back-to-back European Championship matches only for Spain to snatch that record away from them by becoming the first nation to score five goals in back-to-back games, although they needed extra-time to do so against Ukraine.

So what trends are developing in this tournament? The stat that stands out the most is the number of times over 2.5 goals has paid out. Five years ago, 38.6 per cent of the group matches and the Round of 16 saw three or more goals scored. This summer, there has been an increase of 12 per cent with 22 of the 44 games producing a minimum of three goals.

After Monday’s matches, Spain’s quarter-final with Switzerland has goals written all over it. Spain’s Round of 16 clash with Croatia produced eight goals which is the second most in a Euros match, while Switzerland and France shared six goals before Switzerland won the penalty shootout. Over 2.5 goals in the first quarter-final can be backed at 1.9520/21 on the exchange.

Highest scoring team race to go to the wire

England are unlikely to emerge as the highest scoring team in Euro 2020, having scored four goals in their four matches played so far. They find themselves seven behind Spain who can’t stop scoring.

Needless to say the Spanish lead the market at 1.84/5 on the exchange to be the tournament’s highest scoring team.

Is it a done deal? Certainly not. Denmark are scoring goals for fun tooaand they are riding a wave of emotion after losing their talisman Christian Eriksen in their opening game.

Denmark scored one goal from 43 shots in their opening two matches. In their last two games, they average a goal every four shots.

For the Danes to be through to the quarter-finals is a remarkable achievement given the fact they lost their first two games and faced elimination. Denmark are 8.415/2 to be the leading scorers at Euro 2020.

Dark horses for the honour of being this summer’s leading scorers are Italy and Belgium. The Italians have nine goals to their name which is one more than the Belgians. One of these two sides will progress to the final four as they meet in the quarter-finals in Munich on Friday. Italy are 5.85/1 to win Euro 2020 on the exchange while Belgium are 8.615/2.

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